Pre-election poll reveals interesting results
The May poll is the last in a series of pre-election polls conducted by the Institute of Race Relations
THIS is the most fluid national election to date, particularly regarding the ANC and EFF which have traded support one way and the other among voters since September.
This is according to the Institute of Race Relations (IRR) after its most recent election poll, held between 27 April and 4 May.
While the poll is not a prediction of the outcome of the elections, the results of the survey are interesting nonetheless.
The ANC could get less than 55% support, Gauteng and KZN are set to be hung, the DA should hang on to the Western Cape, and support for the EFF has increased significantly since 2014.
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According to the IRR’s Head of Politics and Governance, Gareth van Onselen, this increased support will set up an interesting dynamic between the ANC and EFF over the next five years.
The poll also suggests that the DA is marginally up among black voters, but down among white voters and the ANC is significantly down among coloured voters.
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‘It is not possible to precisely predict the election result,’ said Van Onselen.
‘We are, however, confident our data is accurate for the period under review.
‘Thus, all this survey can tell you is the nature of the electoral market in the week preceding the elections, and suggest where some of the trend lines are headed.’
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